Rules guide
Prediction market resolution rules explained
Resolution rules determine what actually counts as YES. Searchers often skip them, but they are central to understanding market prices.
Independent educational content. Not financial, betting, legal or trading advice. Always review platform rules and local availability.
What to check first
- The exact event being measured.
- The official source or adjudicator.
- The date and timezone for resolution.
- Edge cases, postponements and cancellation language.
Why rules change interpretation
Two markets can sound similar in headlines but resolve differently. The market price only makes sense relative to the actual rule text.
Risk note
Ambiguous or subjective resolution language can create price volatility unrelated to the underlying event.
Useful next step
Use the implied probability calculator or compare related topic hubs before opening any live market.